Mallorca weather for the next 10 days

1The 10-day forecast for Palma de Mallorca

The table shows every day for which MET Norway supplies values, usually nine or ten. A final day with only a few values left is not shown, so that half a day does not look like a whole one. That is why the list does not always end on the same weekday.

The columns are the same as on all pages: weather during the daytime hours, high, low, total rain and strongest mean wind in km/h. The day cards above it give a quick overview.

2Where the 10-day forecast for Mallorca comes from

MET Norway divides the world into three regions for its service. Regional models are used for the north and the Arctic. For the rest of the world, which includes Mallorca, MET Norway uses the high-resolution ECMWF model according to its documentation, for forecasts from 0 to 10 days at a resolution of around 9 km. These global forecasts are updated four times a day and run fully automatically, with no editing by meteorologists.

The service description speaks of forecasts for the next nine days. Because the table starts with the day already running, nine forecast days become up to ten rows. The service reaches no further, and this page adds no estimates of its own.

3How reliability in Mallorca drops from day 1 to day 10

ECMWF traces the loss of quality to errors in the starting conditions and to approximations in the model, which amplify as the lead time grows. This page gives no fixed percentage per day. ECMWF itself speaks of day-to-day variations in the predictability of the atmosphere. The following split is this page's own reading aid, not a statement by the weather services.

• Days 1 to 3: the most accurate values. Good enough to plan around showers, wind and the right time of day for an outing.
• Days 4 to 7: Look at the overall picture of the day rather than the exact time of a shower.
• Days 8 to 10: Values only come in steps of six hours. Read direction and order of magnitude from them, such as warmer or cooler, drier or wetter.

4What to do with days 8 to 10 in Mallorca

The last days of the list are not a date but a hint. Three ways to use them:

• Watch over several days: The forecast is recalculated four times a day. If a wet day stays in the same place over several updates, the signal is steadier than if it moves from run to run.
• Read the neighbouring days: A single amount of rain on day 9 is worth little. If days 8 to 10 together show cooler and wetter weather, that is the better information.
• Stay flexible: On days 8 to 10, boat, summit and beach belong on a list, not in a fixed plan. Fix your plans once the days move into the 7-day forecast.

5Wind and rain in the 10-day forecast for Mallorca

The wind column shows the strongest mean wind of the day. MET Norway supplies it as a ten-minute average at a height of 10 m, and this page converts it to km/h. The table shows no gusts. According to MET Norway, gusts are not available anyway for forecasts beyond 60 hours.

The rain column is the sum of the expected amounts for the day. On the later days it is made up of blocks of six hours. A short shower and a long drizzle can look the same in it. For a coastal walk that is enough as a trend, for a boat trip on day 10 it is not.

6After day 10: averages for Mallorca instead of a forecast

The days after the forecast are on Mallorca 14-day weather and 16 days. There, averages for the years 2011 to 2025 show what was usual on each date, clearly labelled as averages. For a trip a few weeks away, the October page, the weather calendar and the climate table help.