Mallorca weather for 14 and 16 days: forecast and average

1Forecast for Palma de Mallorca, day by day

Averages of past years at the station PALMA DE MALLORCA CMT. Not a forecast.

Each row stands for one calendar day in local time. The high and the low are the warmest and the coldest forecast value of the day, precipitation is the total over the day, and wind is the strongest forecast mean wind. The weather symbol describes the daytime hours.

The first day is today and only covers the remaining hours. Days labelled as averages do not come from the forecast but from readings taken in past years.

2Why the forecast for Mallorca ends after 9 to 10 days

The forecast comes from the Norwegian weather service MET Norway. According to its own description, its Locationforecast service provides forecasts for the next nine days. Together with today, that makes up to ten calendar days in the table.

For places outside northern Europe, which includes Mallorca, MET Norway says in its documentation that it uses the global model of the European centre ECMWF with a resolution of around 9 km. For the first days there are values for every hour, after that in steps of six hours.

Beyond that period the service provides no values. This page does not fill the gap with estimates of its own.

3Why 14 and 16 days ahead are so uncertain

A weather forecast calculates forward from the current state of the atmosphere. Small inaccuracies at the start grow with every day that is calculated. For tomorrow they hardly matter, for the tenth day they matter a lot.

A precise temperature figure with a rain symbol for day 14 or day 16 looks exact, but it is not. That is why this page deliberately shows no forecast for those days. It is more honest to look at what was usual on that date in past years.

4What the average values for days 11 to 16 tell you

For each calendar day, the daily values for the years 2011 to 2025 at the Palma de Mallorca CMT station are averaged: the high, the low and the share of years in which at least 1 mm of rain fell on that date. These values appear for days 11 to 16 and are labelled as averages.

An average over 15 years fluctuates from day to day, because individual warm or wet years show through. It works as an order of magnitude. It cannot tell you whether it will rain on your travel day.

5How to plan with forecast and average

• More than 10 days ahead: Look at the month. The month pages, for example October or April, show temperatures, rain days and a calendar with average values.
• 5 to 10 days ahead: The forecast shows a trend. Plan weather-dependent outings so that you can still move them.
• 1 to 3 days ahead: Now the values are at their most reliable. For boat trips and mountain hikes, a last look the evening before is worthwhile.

You will find the comparison of all months in the climate table, and the assessment by type of trip under best time to visit. The method behind the figures is explained under Data and method.