# Mallorca weather for the next 10 days > Mallorca weather for 10 days: the full range of the forecast for Palma, why it ends there and what days 8 to 10 can still tell you. Canonical: https://wettermallorca.com/en/10-day-weather/ Updated on: 2026-10-08 The MET Norway forecast this page shows for Mallorca reaches around ten days. It appears here for Palma, together with why it ends there and how much the last days are still worth. ## In short The Mallorca weather on this page reaches around 9 to 10 days ahead: MET Norway calculates the coming nine days, and the table adds today, already under way. According to MET Norway, Mallorca is calculated with the high-resolution ECMWF model, which the service uses for 0 to 10 days. The first days are the most accurate, and days 8 to 10 work as a trend. ## Key points - The table for Palma de Mallorca shows ten calendar days at most, often nine. - For Mallorca, MET Norway uses the high-resolution ECMWF model for 0 to 10 days, at a resolution of around 9 km. - Values come for every hour at first, later only in steps of six hours. - Days 8 to 10 work as a trend, not as a fixed date for a boat trip or a summit. - After day 10 this page shows no forecast, only averages from past years. ## The 10-day forecast for Palma de Mallorca [[HORIZON:10]] The table shows every day for which MET Norway supplies values, usually nine or ten. A final day with only a few values left is not shown, so that half a day does not look like a whole one. That is why the list does not always end on the same weekday. The columns are the same as on all pages: weather during the daytime hours, high, low, total rain and strongest mean wind in km/h. The day cards above it give a quick overview. ## Where the 10-day forecast for Mallorca comes from MET Norway divides the world into three regions for its service. Regional models are used for the north and the Arctic. For the rest of the world, which includes Mallorca, MET Norway uses the high-resolution ECMWF model according to its documentation, for forecasts from 0 to 10 days at a resolution of around 9 km. These global forecasts are updated four times a day and run fully automatically, with no editing by meteorologists. The service description speaks of forecasts for the next nine days. Because the table starts with the day already running, nine forecast days become up to ten rows. The service reaches no further, and this page adds no estimates of its own. ## How reliability in Mallorca drops from day 1 to day 10 ECMWF traces the loss of quality to errors in the starting conditions and to approximations in the model, which amplify as the lead time grows. This page gives no fixed percentage per day. ECMWF itself speaks of day-to-day variations in the predictability of the atmosphere. The following split is this page's own reading aid, not a statement by the weather services. - Days 1 to 3: the most accurate values. Good enough to plan around showers, wind and the right time of day for an outing. - Days 4 to 7: Look at the overall picture of the day rather than the exact time of a shower. - Days 8 to 10: Values only come in steps of six hours. Read direction and order of magnitude from them, such as warmer or cooler, drier or wetter. ## What to do with days 8 to 10 in Mallorca The last days of the list are not a date but a hint. Three ways to use them: - Watch over several days: The forecast is recalculated four times a day. If a wet day stays in the same place over several updates, the signal is steadier than if it moves from run to run. - Read the neighbouring days: A single amount of rain on day 9 is worth little. If days 8 to 10 together show cooler and wetter weather, that is the better information. - Stay flexible: On days 8 to 10, boat, summit and beach belong on a list, not in a fixed plan. Fix your plans once the days move into the [7-day forecast](https://wettermallorca.com/en/7-day-weather/). ## Wind and rain in the 10-day forecast for Mallorca The wind column shows the strongest mean wind of the day. MET Norway supplies it as a ten-minute average at a height of 10 m, and this page converts it to km/h. The table shows no gusts. According to MET Norway, gusts are not available anyway for forecasts beyond 60 hours. The rain column is the sum of the expected amounts for the day. On the later days it is made up of blocks of six hours. A short shower and a long drizzle can look the same in it. For a coastal walk that is enough as a trend, for a boat trip on day 10 it is not. ## After day 10: averages for Mallorca instead of a forecast The days after the forecast are on [Mallorca 14-day weather](https://wettermallorca.com/en/14-day-weather/) and [16 days](https://wettermallorca.com/en/forecast/). There, averages for the years 2011 to 2025 show what was usual on each date, clearly labelled as averages. For a trip a few weeks away, the [October](https://wettermallorca.com/en/october/) page, the [weather calendar](https://wettermallorca.com/en/calendar/) and the [climate table](https://wettermallorca.com/en/climate-table/) help. ## Frequently asked questions ### Does the Mallorca weather forecast really reach 10 days ahead? The one shown here does, roughly. MET Norway supplies values for Mallorca for the next nine days, and with today that makes up to ten calendar days. According to its documentation, it is based on the high-resolution ECMWF model, which the service uses for 0 to 10 days. The last days are more of a trend. ### Why does the 10-day forecast for Mallorca sometimes show only 9 days? The table starts with today, which is already under way, and ends where MET Norway no longer supplies complete daily values. If the last day only has a few values left, it is left out so that it does not look like a whole day. Depending on the time, there are therefore nine or ten rows. ### How reliable is day 10 of the weather forecast for Mallorca? Much less than day 1. ECMWF explains that errors from the initial state and from the model grow over time. Day 10 therefore shows direction and order of magnitude rather than a firm value. This page gives no fixed hit rate, because predictability varies from one weather situation to the next. ### How often does the 10-day forecast for Mallorca change? MET Norway recalculates its global forecasts four times a day. The later days in particular can move around. When the data shown was produced is stated right below the table. Checking two or three days in a row shows whether a signal holds. ### Does the 10-day forecast for Mallorca show wind gusts? No. The table gives the strongest mean wind of the day, forecast as a ten-minute average at a height of 10 m and converted to km/h. According to its documentation, MET Norway does not provide gusts for forecasts beyond 60 hours. So there are no gust values for the later days. ### Which weather model is behind the 10-day forecast for Mallorca? For Mallorca, MET Norway uses the high-resolution model of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, at a resolution of around 9 km. MET Norway uses its own regional models only for northern Europe and the Arctic. According to MET Norway, the forecasts run fully automatically, with no editing by meteorologists. ### What helps if a holiday in Mallorca starts more than 10 days from now? Then the forecast on this page does not yet reach your travel days. The month pages and the weather calendar show what was usual on those days in the years 2011 to 2025. Once your arrival day moves into the 10-day forecast, a daily look is worthwhile. ## Sources - [MET Norway, Locationforecast 2.0](https://api.met.no/weatherapi/locationforecast/2.0/documentation), checked on 2026-10-08 - [MET Norway, Locationforecast data model and forecast models](https://api.met.no/doc/locationforecast/datamodel), checked on 2026-10-08 - [MET Norway, licence and attribution (NLOD 2.0, CC BY 4.0)](https://api.met.no/doc/License), checked on 2026-10-02 - [AEMET OpenData, daily climate values](https://opendata.aemet.es/), checked on 2026-10-03 - [AEMET station inventory, station B228 Palma, Puerto (39.5542 N, 2.6253 E, 3 m)](https://opendata.aemet.es/centrodedescargas/productosAEMET), checked on 2026-10-03 - [ECMWF, Quantifying forecast uncertainty](https://www.ecmwf.int/en/research/modelling-and-prediction/quantifying-forecast-uncertainty), checked on 2026-10-08